Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 3.671125 4.245176 4.882439 5.642867 6.526355 7.521421 8.728563
2024-10-06 3.164781 3.983061 4.973158 6.261782 7.898526 9.913304 12.589892
2024-10-13 2.674577 3.623659 4.861671 6.600626 8.990135 12.172793 16.758086
2024-10-20 2.245396 3.248769 4.648477 6.753904 9.859750 14.302811 21.195129
2024-10-27 1.811679 2.779131 4.212012 6.503792 10.107522 15.606594 24.729732
2024-11-03 1.622237 2.627677 4.202294 6.869752 11.323685 18.546791 31.317989
2024-11-10 1.482198 2.524406 4.242982 7.313789 12.735916 22.043965 39.515309
2024-11-17 1.330233 2.372169 4.173548 7.554379 13.840311 25.215714 47.789695
2024-11-24 1.169971 2.176251 3.993290 7.561551 14.520549 27.745544 55.386544
2024-12-01 1.002312 1.937784 3.695664 7.294644 14.629719 29.214898 61.202177
2024-12-08 0.859135 1.721731 3.404003 6.984968 14.590910 30.371635 66.587725
2024-12-15 0.782996 1.625263 3.328742 7.096259 15.430419 33.463334 76.750909
2024-12-22 0.692206 1.489097 3.161647 7.008192 15.878874 35.917986 86.301541
2024-12-29 0.660339 1.473373 3.245737 7.488619 17.701423 41.821071 105.441762
2025-01-05 0.610364 1.409474 3.214839 7.703663 18.955843 46.676249 123.212973
2025-01-12 0.555406 1.324991 3.123571 7.759668 19.839340 50.823746 140.203900
2025-01-19 0.482290 1.185320 2.880127 7.395712 19.587617 52.045521 149.548945
2025-01-26 0.458929 1.163763 2.919337 7.763098 21.342792 58.950308 176.899581
2025-02-02 0.442078 1.155852 2.991449 8.232593 23.480576 67.382993 211.071479
2025-02-09 0.415988 1.119399 2.983659 8.481780 25.047859 74.538186 243.220958
2025-02-16 0.381814 1.055475 2.891969 8.475319 25.861964 79.642091 270.112285
2025-02-23 0.340062 0.963730 2.708876 8.166062 25.688051 81.669580 287.158904
2025-03-02 0.301810 0.875844 2.522586 7.812615 25.303259 82.947441 301.950890